Betting Odds & Keys to Betting the Superbowl
When the public looks at Super Bowl betting they dont care about value. They want to take the better team and hope they cover the spread. That is why New England is such a heavy favorite. Simulations show that the Giants have just a 1 in 4 chance of winning the Super Bowl outright. Some wise guys think the Giants can cover the Super Bowl betting pointspread but it may not work out that way.
Most Super Bowls are not close and if there is a blowout it will be in favor of New England. The Patriots have a clear offensive edge in the game as they have the best offense the NFL has ever seen. Patriots quarterback Tom Brady and receiver Randy Moss set NFL records this season. New England has an edge at every offensive position.
Super Bowl betting odds have the New England Patriots almost a two touchdown favorite over the New York Giants.
A popular computer simulation had the Patriots winning by a score of 31-21. That would mean the Super Bowl betting winners would be gamblers that wagered on the Giants and the under.
Super Bowl betting odds will always be shaded towards the favorite and the over because that is what the public will bet. Early Super Bowl betting odds had the wise guys taking the Giants and the under because that is where the value is. The problem with that strategy in Super Bowl betting odds is that it doesnt always work. Favorites are above .500 in Super Bowl betting and the games have traditionally gone over the total. In the days leading up to the Super Bowl the public will bet New England and the over and both Super Bowl betting numbers will rise.
Super Bowl odds in terms of wins and losses can be all about numbers. If you want to win against the Super Bowl betting odds then you need to get the best number whenever you can. That means having multiple online sportsbooks to wager with. If you have an account at only one online sportsbook then you are stuck with whatever Super Bowl odds they have for the game. If you have more than one sportsbook to choose from you can get the best Super Bowl odds.
Many times you are going to find that NFL winners result from getting the best Super Bowl odds available. It has been shown that you can increase your win percentage by around four percent if you get the best Super Bowl odds available.
Don’t forget that every half point or full point can turn a loss into a tie, a tie into a win and sometimes a loss into a win. Let’s look at an example to illustrate this point. If we have New England playing Green Bay in the Super Bowl and the Patriots are -10 then if we lay -9.5 instead of 10 we get a win if New England wins by exactly 10 points in Super Bowl odds. If we have Green Bay at + 10.5 then we also get a win if the game lands 10.
Other things you can do to increase your wins against the Super Bowl odds is reducing the juice you have to pay. There may be times when you are laying -105 instead of the normal -110 in Super Bowl betting. Most of the time books won’t do that very often so you really have to look for it. You may also want to look at the incentive programs some online sportsbooks have. They reward you for playing with them and that can turn into free money for you to use.
The first option we listed is the best way to increase your wins. Get the best Super Bowl odds. It really does make a big difference. You might be surprised at some of the Super Bowl odds out there. Every little edge you can get is money in your pocket. And that definitely matters when it comes to Super Bowl betting.
Good Luck, see you at the pay window
Tommy Mac
Crush Shot Sports
1801 E. Tropicana Ave, Suite 9
Las Vegas, NV 89119
702-990-0126
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Saban Sur, San Jose Costa Rica
tmac@tommymac.com
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As you consider Super Bowl betting odds you may want to look at the stats of each team. ATS stats show us New England is 10-7 against the spread this season heading into the AFC Championship game but they are only 2-7 ATS in their last eight games. That might concern those looking to take them in Super Bowl betting odds. They have gone over the total in 11 of their 17 games which might make the over attractive in Super Bowl betting odds. San Diego is 13-5 ATS and 11 of their 18 games have gone over the total. In the NFC the Packers are a league-best 13-3-1 against the spread and punters might take them in Super Bowl betting. They were 10-5-2 to the Over which makes the total look attractive in Super Bowl betting odds. The Giants are 12-6 ATS and are 9-9 on totals.
Oddsmakers have Super Bowl betting odds with the AFC nearly a two touchdown favorite over the NFC. Most experts believe that New England will beat San Diego and that the Patriots will be a two touchdown favorite over either Green Bay or the New York Giants in Super Bowl betting odds.
Super Bowl betting odds would actually have the Patriots favored by about 17 points if they played the Giants. What could upset the apple cart is if the Patriots lose against San Diego. Then the Super Bowl betting odds on the AFC drop like a rock. The Chargers would be less than a TD favorite over either Green Bay or the Giants. As you consider Super Bowl betting you might want to know that heading into the Conference Championships underdogs are holding their own. This NFL playoff season has seen the underdogs go 5-3 against the spread.
As you consider Super Bowl betting odds you might want to know that over/unders in the playoffs so far are right down the middle with four games going over and four going under. Traditionally, Super Bowl betting odds have seen the favorites do well in the Super Bowl and the games be high scoring. That trend has slowed in recent years in terms of the total though as the last two Super Bowls have gone under the total in Super Bowl betting. This years Super Bowl betting total could be one of the highest ever if New England plays Green Bay. The Patriots are the highest scoring team in NFL history and Green Bay is no slouch either. A total near 60 would not be a surprise in Super Bowl betting odds.
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